Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 67.868881 76.663736 85.694963 95.629852 106.220417 117.142586 129.228407
2025-04-06 53.737154 66.202375 79.624007 95.017177 112.056795 130.225604 150.948789
2025-04-13 44.012589 58.182553 74.020407 92.759414 114.068009 137.313001 164.361891
2025-04-20 39.787296 55.663492 73.935884 96.068267 121.732570 150.184060 183.751345
2025-04-27 35.797597 52.876513 73.080665 98.078496 127.569627 160.720968 200.292253
2025-05-04 31.187030 48.832527 70.318364 97.482349 130.080742 167.221997 212.051812
2025-05-11 27.110771 45.050495 67.532324 96.553333 131.943269 172.768423 222.544072
2025-05-18 24.304147 42.648801 66.239067 97.246765 135.577797 180.255710 235.182512
2025-05-25 21.354734 39.770035 64.112898 96.715202 137.577723 185.700510 245.347826
2025-06-01 19.092747 37.636448 62.788393 97.051705 140.525828 192.188530 256.677381
2025-06-08 16.594116 34.915643 60.494250 95.989178 141.618493 196.358935 265.192796
2025-06-15 15.228251 33.766163 60.240887 97.502198 145.874053 204.313314 278.194439
2025-06-22 14.022594 32.783122 60.184417 99.279929 150.508187 212.808155 291.966171
2025-06-29 12.209559 30.640014 58.361366 98.606216 151.958331 217.372037 300.998161
2025-07-06 10.168142 27.866456 55.446452 96.304967 151.195819 219.116292 306.543099
2025-07-13 9.765473 27.918911 56.681424 99.686918 157.807771 230.018208 323.247326
2025-07-20 9.078646 27.380582 56.981861 101.741896 162.670134 238.737659 337.298873
2025-07-27 7.859569 25.696786 55.434681 101.132543 163.972245 242.962197 345.820782
2025-08-03 6.702169 23.968077 53.707692 100.182925 164.759328 246.493508 353.458733
2025-08-10 5.979112 23.026948 53.168319 100.891744 167.732457 252.775574 364.490638
2025-08-17 5.109616 21.633979 51.810650 100.348389 168.974035 256.825092 372.736087
2025-08-24 4.474201 20.663456 51.088096 100.692360 171.388727 262.357332 382.821322
2025-08-31 3.698969 19.205098 49.449312 99.606217 171.800094 265.282439 389.626991